新加坡贸工部长:眼下是中国赢得全球信任的历史机遇

2020年11月14日   •   1万次阅读

11月13日,在第十一届财新峰会的开幕演讲中,新加坡贸工部长陈振声说,新冠疫情已对世界经济造成严重冲击和信任危机,如果不少国家转为追求“经济独立”,“闭门造车”,全球总体上情况会进一步恶化。

中国国家主席在第三届中国国际进口博览会上表示,中国计划开展更深入的双边、区域和多边合作的承诺。 陈振声对此作出响应。他说,中国倡导,各国在相互开放中达成利益共享、责任共担、共治共享。

他说,即使全球化有不足之处,但是,以规则为基础的多边贸易体系仍为许多国家带来了经济增长、稳定与和平。

对小国而言,唯有维持国际供应链的多样化,支持基于规则的多边贸易体系,以及更进一步的相互依存,而非自我孤立和独立,才能给本身经济塑造更高的韧性。

陈振声认为,这些原则对大型经济体应该也是适用的。

他说,疫情当下,全球化和自由贸易受到进一步冲击和挑战,作为世界最大的经济体之一,中国可以通过开放市场、分享技术以及与区域合作和互联互通等,树立全球贸易的行为规范和准绳,为其他国家作出表率,这是中国赢得全球信任的历史性机遇。

陈振声认为,中国的“国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进”战略,可以让中国企业进入世界市场,同时也让中国市场向世界更为开放,对中国市场、世界市场、对中国和其他国家都会带来新机遇。

在早些时候,接受新华社关于深圳特区建立40周年的采访时,新加坡学者许振义也表达了类似的观点。

他说:“坚持改革开放,坚持全球化,才能把世界经济这个蛋糕做大。相反,保护主义一方面压缩全球经济发展的空间和资源,另一方面还试图尽可能多占这个不断萎缩的蛋糕,进一步引发恶性循环,走向双输。”

第11届财新峰会于11月12至15日举行,首次设置北京和新加坡双会场。

财新峰会新加坡分会场在新加坡金沙酒店举行,本地政治、商业和科技领袖将通过线上和线下联动,纵论中国、亚洲和世界的经济、金融和科技合作前景。

中国财政部原部长已打疫苗

在今天举行的“第11届财新峰会:重建全球信任”上,中国财政部原部长楼继伟透露,中国新冠疫苗三期临床试验进展非常好,“我已经打了,打两次,99%得到抗体。”他呼吁各国合作进行疫苗研发并预计全球经济将在2022年之后恢复正常。

目前,中国已有4款新冠疫苗进入三期临床试验,分两次接种,间隔时间为14到28天。

新加坡贸工部长陈振声演讲原内容:

Speech by Minister Chan Chun Sing at the 11th Caixin Summit

Ms Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF),

Mr Zhou Xiaochuan, Former Governor of the People’s Bank of China,

Distinguished guests,

Ladies and gentlemen.

A very good morning to all of you in Singapore, Beijing and across the world. In more ordinary times, we would have gathered together in person. Instead, we now have participants watching the livecast from across the world, reflecting the new normal that we live in.

2. Tens of millions of jobs have been lost. This pandemic will reverse progress made over the last three decades in reducing global poverty, and will certainly increase global inequalities, both within countries and across countries.

3. Along with these economic challenges, we are also facing a global crisis of trust. Domestically, COVID-19 has challenged and at times eroded public trust towards governments. Anxiety levels have risen due to employment and economic woes. Internationally, existing geopolitical tensions prior to COVID-19 have also intensified. Trust in multilateral institutions and platforms has diminished, resulting in their paralysis in some instances.

4. In response to the global economic downturn and growing trust void, countries are trying to build greater economic resilience by insulating themselves from external developments. To avoid being critically affected by sudden shortages in essential goods, many countries have re-shored supply chains closer to home, and boosted domestic production capabilities. As protectionist and anti-globalisation sentiments grow, many countries have responded by turning inwards.

5. Singapore is not immune to these challenges. In fact, as a small and open economy, we are even more sensitive to global developments. However, we believe greater economic resilience comes from supply diversity and greater interdependence, not self-isolation or independence. Our belief is interdependence, rather than independence, from the global supply chains. Over the years, the rules-based multilateral trading system has brought economic growth, stability and peace to many countries. This is not to be taken for granted. While globalisation may have its shortfalls, there will be a net drop in overall global welfare if every country pursues economic independence single-mindedly without regard for its neighbours. We will be worse off and we can easily go back to history, almost a hundred years ago, to the time before the Great Depression.

6. COVID-19 has been an important reminder of how inextricably interdependent we are, and that economic independence is not a viable option, or the most preferred option. Given the common global challenges and integrated networks in today’s world, countries and companies have a shared and unavoidable interest to remain interconnected.

7. In Mandarin, there is a saying – 闭门造车. It cautions against walling oneself from the outside world. Interdependence also enhances global security, as parties have shared interests in one another’s success instead of a zero-sum mentality. In addition, we can strengthen economic resilience by having stronger and more diversified networks, both for the supply chains and for the markets. The path to increased resilience lies not with independence, but with greater interdependence. Independence just means that we have concentrated all the risk in one country - our own country. And that does not necessarily mean greater resilience.

8. To share the benefits of interdependence, trust is fundamental. I would like to offer three suggestions today - the 3 “C”s. The courage to Commit, to stay Connected, and to Confront the challenges ahead.

The 3 “C”s

9. First, we all need to have the courage to Commit to a rules-based multilateral trading system. The rules-based trading system has imposed responsibilities on all participants and sought to create a stable environment for all. Such transparency and predictability form the basis of trust amongst our businesses and countries. It fosters confidence that international markets remain welcoming, fair and inclusive. With evolving realities such as pervasive digital economy developments, we will also need to work together to update the rules-based order. Not just to uphold the current world order, the current world trading system, but also to update the system in accordance to the current realities and demands.

10. Second, we must have the courage to stay Connected with each other and with the world, to build mutual understanding and establish credibility as reliable economic partners for each other. Despite cross-border restrictions due to COVID-19, trade and financial connectivity have kept up activities for the livelihoods of our people and the survival of our businesses. Despite physical barriers that may hinder face-to-face interactions, digital tools have enabled us to transcend physical distances and geographical boundaries, and to keep up conversations with our domestic and international stakeholders. And today is a fine example of how we have the determination to stay connected and not be defeated by a virus. Now we have to continue developing such modern connectivity in trade, finance and digital platforms, which will allow countries to leverage on our comparative advantages, so that neither COVID-19 nor geopolitical tensions may divide us.

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